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Оценка прогнозов оползневых процессов Южного берега Крыма с помощью анализа временных рядов (АРПСС)
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UDC: 519.876:55.435.62(477.75)
Publication Language: Ukrainian
Stuc. intelekt. 2010; 15(4):465-475
Abstract: General conformities with a law of construction of autoregressive models of landslide processes are investigated, on the example of the Southern Coast of Crimea. Authentication of ARIMA-models is conducted, the calculations of estimations of parameters of these models are executed. The criteria of estimation of models and estimation of prognoses on which a model is distinguished among the others are chosen, and also a prognosis is built for 10 years.
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