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Системний аналіз економічних циклів України, Росії, Німеччини, США на фоні світової фінансової кризи 2007 – 2009 рр. (статистичні аспекти)
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UDC: 330.4,336
Publication Language: Russian
Stuc. intelekt. 2010; 15(3):494-500
Abstract: We construct economic cycles of real GDP of Germany, USA, Ukraine and Russia over the period 2000- 2009 using the LOG-filter method. The GDP cycles, constructed by this method, have good agreement with the cycles of GDP, constructed by Haver Analytics and World Economic Outlook. Next, we construct cycles of GDP growth or fall (statistical cycles), and for every cycle the local Hurst exponent is introduced as a numerical characteristic. On the basis of the constructed statistic cycles the analysis of the behavior of GDP of these countries is carried out.
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